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The stakes really are that high. The Democratic betting odds, however, are all over the place. Even Andrew Yang deserves a mention, blackouts be darned! Update : With the Iowa caucus results slowly and painfully trickling in, the race is neck-and-neck between Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders. Sanders is leading slightly in the popular vote, but Ex-Mayor Pete has the edge in precincts.
That said, the race could go either way, though all the other candidates can consider the Iowa caucus a loss, with Joe Biden the biggest loser of all. Had Trump not finished so close to Cruz in Iowa, however, he likely would not be President today.
Most sites are thus not offering Iowa caucus odds on Trump. Trump is thus allotted 39 delegates, while challenger Bill Weld received 1 delegate. Joe Walsh received 0 delegates. Pete Buttigieg — Typically, voters will gather at their caucus venues throughout the day, and candidate selection will happen in the evening around pm. Where do I go to vote? To find your Iowa caucus location , you can use the form provided by the IA Secretary of State website. Once you determine your polling place, simply go to the caucus locale associated with your precinct.
Can I vote early in IA? Yes, Iowa offers early voting for its primary and general elections. The Iowa caucuses have been unpredictable. In the Republican race, polling averages put Donald Trump ahead of Ted Cruz by five percentage points — only for Cruz to beat Trump by four percent. And although polls correctly predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the state that year, Bernie Sanders brought things a lot closer than pollsters anticipated.
Rick Santorum pulled off a stunning upset back in , and Barack Obama swung enough voters late in to top Hillary Clinton. While voters simply cast ballots in primary elections, caucusgoers engage in multiple rounds of voting in which they can change their preferred candidates. After an initial round of balloting, supporters of candidates with less than 15 percent of the vote can choose to support another candidate — or to sway others to get their candidate over 15 percent.
In the past, supporters of a given candidate could change their votes even if their candidate had reached the 15 percent mark, but they can no longer do that. This change adds significance to first-round balloting, and while the results are yet to be seen, I suspect that it will help keep the results closer to the polling averages. Hypothetically, at least, it would prevent supporters of a successful candidate from helping their less-successful second choice reach viability.
The two men are the only candidates with polling averages above 20 percent, and Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren follow them at around 15 percent. Should these polls hold up, it looks like a two-way race for the win between Sanders and Biden.
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